Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.057036 0.064855 0.072899 0.081760 0.091217 0.100978 0.111786
2025-07-06 0.043959 0.055433 0.067899 0.082297 0.098327 0.115497 0.135151
2025-07-13 0.039439 0.053724 0.069868 0.089121 0.111145 0.135274 0.163439
2025-07-20 0.031217 0.046425 0.064370 0.086500 0.112508 0.141630 0.176252
2025-07-27 0.028049 0.044633 0.064847 0.090373 0.120937 0.155660 0.197436
2025-08-03 0.024126 0.041353 0.063085 0.091208 0.125508 0.165029 0.213119
2025-08-10 0.020656 0.038217 0.061148 0.091524 0.129213 0.173199 0.227269
2025-08-17 0.017179 0.034630 0.058290 0.090401 0.130941 0.178860 0.238347
2025-08-24 0.013245 0.029842 0.053422 0.086365 0.128795 0.179667 0.243514
2025-08-31 0.010410 0.026290 0.049911 0.083813 0.128269 0.182245 0.250626
2025-09-07 0.008598 0.024108 0.048129 0.083390 0.130311 0.187851 0.261291
2025-09-14 0.007433 0.022859 0.047584 0.084554 0.134326 0.195842 0.274809
2025-09-21 0.007030 0.023119 0.049534 0.089529 0.143795 0.211214 0.298085
2025-09-28 0.005622 0.021228 0.048106 0.089787 0.147171 0.219149 0.312537
2025-10-05 0.005700 0.022380 0.051489 0.096916 0.159695 0.238635 0.341236
2025-10-12 0.004052 0.019450 0.048096 0.094157 0.158937 0.241312 0.349234
2025-10-19 0.003702 0.019405 0.049407 0.098223 0.167344 0.255617 0.371616
2025-10-26 0.002960 0.018178 0.048608 0.099099 0.171384 0.264337 0.387073
2025-11-02 0.002274 0.016849 0.047503 0.099431 0.174623 0.271997 0.401199
2025-11-09 0.001569 0.015110 0.045487 0.098252 0.175693 0.276804 0.411719
2025-11-16 0.000817 0.012554 0.041641 0.094014 0.172325 0.275719 0.414727
2025-11-23 0.000397 0.010710 0.038902 0.091332 0.171012 0.277218 0.420917
2025-11-30 0.000201 0.009647 0.037606 0.090888 0.172829 0.282800 0.432269